大家有没有感觉，2022 年关于防疫的舆论风向变化了？ 第1页

得病了会死，没有收入也会死，这是客观情况。

另一方面，你不能一边对内严格防疫，一边放任南深圳随便飞国内，祸祸掉俩一线城市不算还开新的航班接受。

老百姓不瞎，也不傻。

一方面老百姓越来越穷了，撑不下去了。

另一方面，对于奥密克戎毒性的真实威力，越来越多人开始有一个比较清晰的认识。

国内的防疫爱好者，或者说清零发烧友，还是相当的多，他们工资照领，五险一金照缴，防疫来了不仅工作量变少，还能居家合理摸鱼，他们当然支持防疫了，最好一直防下去。

那些手停口停的人，失业被裁员的人，可就太惨了。

一直觉得有些政策没有老百姓配合，真的做不下来。

和国外一样，政府想封城，老百姓不配合。你一封城，人家就上街头了。

我只能说

东边某大国，你真的捡到宝了

再也没有比你这边更任劳任怨的老百姓了。

要懂得感恩

2020，2021多少行业已经是被“清零式”打击了。但大家仍然是万众一心支持抗疫。现在疫苗也打了，药物也有了，国外已经完全恢复正常了，但这边快吃不上饭了，能不急吗？

别说新冠会死人，没钱一样会死人。

说简单点，把目前防疫的经费放到低收入群体的医保里，不知道能让多少人可以多活十年八年的！

【疫情何时结束?官方:需4个条件】对于疫情何时结束，日前，国家卫生健康委疫情应对处置工作领导小组专家组组长梁万年表示，从理论上来说，疫情结束有几个方面：

　　需要满足四个条件：

　　1.病毒致病和传播逐渐减弱;

　　2.疫苗更加有效 ，可防止感染;

　　3.出现早期阻断病情的特效药;

　　4.国际疫情好转，外防输入压力变小。

　　梁组长同时讲到了有关疫情平衡的观点，科学上称为“三角模型”，也要划重点。

　　第一个角，疾病和病毒的毒性、危害性。

　　第二个角，卫生健康系统的抵抗力和能力。

　　第三个角，公共卫生和社会面的干预措施。

中国民航局的《“十四五”民用航空发展规划》说从2023年起，逐步增加国际航班数量。

就业问题，没有疫情的时候就业照样难。

至于闭关锁国，要是闭关锁国你是怎么在网上买进口货的？

疫情、防疫措施和经济的相关性值得认真探究

看了很多答案，不少人认为”放开“后经济就会好转，个人经济状况也会改善。

但英国最近在讨论”新冠更可能导致感染者财务状况恶化“的问题，而多数媒体没有对”共存“对个人的经济负担进行全面的分析。

以下为翻译后的原文：

英国卫报报道，新冠更可能导致感染者财务状况恶化

原标题：Having Covid-19 linked to risk of economic hardship, study suggests

科普通讯员 Linda Geddes 2022年3月9日

链接：https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/mar/09/covid-19-risk-economic-hardship-poverty-study-suggests

Exclusive: Research finds that disease is associated with 39% rise in odds of people in UK having inadequate income for basic needs

独家：研究发现，感染新冠可以让英国人收入不满足基本需求的概率增加39%

People living in the UK’s most deprived areas are more likely to be infected with Covid-19, but research suggests this relationship is a two-way street: becoming infected also increases people’s risk of economic hardship, particularly if they develop long Covid.

生活在英国最贫困地区的人们更有可能感染新冠病毒。但研究表明，这种关系是双向的：被感染也会增加人们陷入经济困难的风险，特别是如果他们有新冠后遗症。

“We’ve shown that Covid has an impact on people’s ability to meet their basic household requirements – something that is only going to be exacerbated by the cost of living crisis which is happening at the same time,” said Adrian Martineau, a professor of respiratory infection and immunity at Queen Mary University of London (QMUL), who supervised the research.

伦敦玛丽女王大学（QMUL）呼吸道感染和免疫学教授Adrian Martineau说："我们已经表明，新冠影响人满足基本家庭需求的能力 ，而这会使得生活成本增加而已经恶化的生活变得更糟 。"

The findings have boosted calls for ministers to do more to support the growing number of working-age adults affected by the condition, which is also known as post-acute Covid syndrome (Pacs).

调查结果推动部长们采取更多措施支持受到疾病影响的工作年龄成年人，这种情况也被称为感染新冠后遗症（Pacs）。

“Many long-haulers have lost their jobs, and in some instances their partners have Pacs, so two salaries have been lost,” said Louise Barnes, founder of the Pacs19 support group. “Whilst many have been able to get PIP [personal independence] payments, some haven’t, and are no longer being supported by their employers. They are facing a financial nightmare and need financial support.” "许多长途运输司机失去了工作，在某些情况下，他们的工作伙伴有后遗症，所以他们失去了两份薪水，" 后遗症支持小组的创始人Louise Barnes说。"虽然许多人已经能够获得PIP[个人独立]付款，但有些人还没有，并且不再得到雇主的支持。 他们正面临着一场财务噩梦，需要财政支持。

According to the Office for National Statistics, about 1.3 million people, or 2% of the UK population, are living with long Covid. Those between 35 and 69 years of age are at greatest risk, and experts have expressed concerns about the impact of so many working-age people suffering from long-term symptoms and disability.

根据国家统计局的数据，约有130万人（占英国人口的2%）患有新冠后遗症。年龄在35至69岁之间的人面临的风险最大，专家们对如此多的工作年龄人群遭受长期症状和失能的影响表示担忧。

To investigate the economic consequences of the illness, Martineau and colleagues analysed data from 16,910 Britons aged 16 years or over who completed monthly questionnaires about their health and household income between May 2020 and October 2021.

为了调查这种疾病的经济后果，Martineau及其同事分析了16910名16岁或以上的英国人的数据，他们在2020年5月至2021年10月期间完成了有关其健康和家庭收入的月度问卷调查。

The study, which has not yet been peer reviewed, found that testing positive for Covid was associated with a 39% increase in the odds of people reporting inadequate income to meet their basic needs, and a five fold increase in the number of people reporting long-term term sickness absence from work, compared with those who didn’t become infected.

这项尚未经过同行评审的研究发现，与未被感染的人相比，新冠检测呈阳性的人报告收入不能满足基本需求的几率增加了39%，并且报告后遗症的人缺勤的概率增加了五倍。

The associations were strongest where catching Covid led to hospitalization or the development of persistent symptoms, supporting the idea that Covid was the cause of people’s financial hardship.

当患者由于新冠而住院，或者发展出长期症状的时候，疾病更可能导致患者经济困难。

Anne Williamson, a health economist at QMUL’s Blizard Institute who led the research, said: “The vicious cycle of poor health and poverty that we identify should lead policymakers to consider early, decisive interventions to break this downward spiral – including employment advice and other economic support, as well as healthcare follow-up.”

领导这项研究的QMUL的Blizard研究所健康经济学家安妮·威廉姆森（Anne Williamson）说："健康状况不佳和贫困可以形成恶性循环，政策制定者应当考虑早期，果断的干预措施来打破这种恶性循环 - 包括就业建议和其他经济支持，以及医疗保健跟进。

In January, MPs on the all-party parliamentary group on coronavirus called on the government to recognize Covid-19 as an occupational disease– a move that could help to standardize support and care for those affected, and improve data collection on the problem across the country. The MPs also urged ministers to set up a compensation scheme for key workers who have suffered financially through loss of work.

今年1月，各党派议会新冠肺炎小组呼吁政府将新冠视为一种职业病，此举可能有助于规范对受影响人群的支持和护理，并改善全国范围内有关该问题的数据收集。议员们还敦促部长们为那些因失去工作而遭受经济损失的关键工人制定一项补偿计划。

Lib Dem MP Layla Moran, who is also chair of the all-party parliamentary group on corona virus, said: “As has been the case throughout this pandemic, the greatest burdens have fallen disproportionately on lower income and front line workers, and we've heard first hand how the debilitating symptoms of long Covid can impact a person’s ability to work.

自由民主党议员蕾拉·莫兰（Layla Moran）也是冠状病毒全党议会小组的主席，他说："与整个大流行期间的情况一样，最大的负担不成比例地落在低收入和一线工人身上，我们亲耳听到了新冠后遗症导致的衰弱症状如何影响一个人的工作能力。

“The ONS estimates that long Covid is impacting almost 1.3 million people in the UK and yet, the government have their heads firmly in the sand about the impact this will have on our economy and essential services.

"ONS估计，新冠后遗症正在影响英国近130万人，然而，政府对后遗症对经济和基本服务产生的影响视而不见。

“They must urgently increase resources for research into treatment and provide compensation to the front line workers who have sacrificed their health and wealth protecting this country.”

"他们必须紧急增加用于治疗研究的资源，并为牺牲健康和财富保护这个国家的一线工人提供补偿。

在美国，疫情影响了产业链和供应链效率，制造业生产力回退，高通胀下普通人薪资反而下降

境外国家可能有”我在泥坑里面，你凭什么站在外面“的心态，这也是我们在国内较少能看到类似分析文章的原因。

目前的防疫存在入境环节防控不到位，各地流调信息不互通，流调能力有限无法”精准防控“的问题，需要不断改进

总体来说，疫情对经济的影响是复杂的，多研究才能了解背后的逻辑。我对大家的建议是：多看事实，少相信观点，建立自己的分析方法论！