如何看待印度上百科学家要求政府公开疫情数据？印度疫情为何被严重低估？ 第1页

继续暂不嘲讽，印度作为目前世界最大的实验田，有几个数据还是有价值的。

1. 二次与三次或更多次感染率，按照年龄/性别/原有疾病进行分类，以及多次感染后的重病率如何。
2. 不同温度湿度区域的病毒传播率和重病率(考虑的印度的医疗能力，致死率没啥价值)。

这些数据如果有部门认真统计，还是会弄出一些的，对未来国际病毒防控也有很大意义。能统计出来也算是印度为国际做出的一丁点补偿了。

至于印度疫情被低估?

被低估的从不是感染人数，因为一开始就知道印度肯定是全民接触病毒能不能感染看天。现在大家担心的是印度养出的未知变异种是不是能打破疫苗防线，有没有更高重病率，抗不抗高温高湿。

估计印度政府自己都不知道。因为根据一位印度医生说法（在很多社交媒体疯传），变异病毒，已经可以跳过鼻试纸，直达肺部。鼻试纸对一些病患是假阳性。从病发到死亡之需要8-10小时。

社交媒体很多关于印度疫情的个人发声被删除。甚至设置不能评论。所以这位医生message也只是在whats里疯传，推特已段落形式被转载。印度继续隐瞒下去真的拖全世界下水。

It is written by Dr Pradeep Senha from Sassoon General Hospital Maharashtra.

Dr. Pradeep，就职于Saasoon General 医院。以下为大意翻译，只翻译重点。

“COVID19 new mutation is giving false negatives in nasal swaps.”

新的新冠病毒已经可以跳过鼻试纸。（真实感染多少印度人自己都不知道）

“The virus is now hitting straight into the lungs. It is carrying no symptoms like fever or cough. Just body ache, weakness, loss of appetite. Patients go from mild condition to extreme life and death situation within 8 to 10 hours.”

这个病毒已经可以直接到达人的肺部。已经不会造成像发烧咳嗽那样症状。表现为身体疼痛。虚弱，食欲下降。患者从温和状态直到死亡之需要8-10小时。

“Patients that have previous recovered from Indian COVID19 in last year or so are at higher risk as their respiratory system is still not fully recovered. When they get the new mutation their fatality rate is much higher. We are receiving data from across India and it is not just alarming, it is an absolute disaster of historical proportions. We suspect Pakistan, Afghanistan and Bangladesh will all now be experiencing the new mutations of virus and face a dire situation just like India.”

病人之前感染过的处于高风险状态，因为呼吸系统没有恢复。他们死亡率更高。（所以感染过恢复的人别觉得自己有抗体为所欲为，因为在新病毒面前死更快）。阿富汗，巴基斯坦，孟加拉会遭遇和印度一样的遭难。（哎）

Our colleagues in small towns across India especially North Eastern regions are saying it is a battle we have already lost. It is now damage control and save as many lives as possible. We have seen 400 plus children just in our district die within 10 to 12 hours. Initial period they showed no symptoms and within hours their oxygen levels dropped and deceased.”

在印度东北部10-12小时就死了400多个儿童。他们从没症状到缺氧也就几个小时。

We have also attended to several patients who traveled into Mumbai from overseas and had received their jabs and ended up contracting the Indian COVID and 17 out of 28 have died. Health services both in public and private hospitals have collapsed. Rich, middle class and poor all are affected and it is spreading fast, very fast. Any further mutation or variants will potentially be a doomsday scenario.”

我们注意到从海外到孟买旅游的人，他们已经接种疫苗，然而28个人里死了17个（死亡率60%）。私立医院和公立医院已经崩溃。有钱人，中产，穷人都受到感染。任何进一步变异都是世界末日。

This is a WARNING go to extreme precautions for everyone in your household. From children to elders. This virus is no longer containable in India. Our government and systems have failed. No one could have ever anticipated this. For all other developing countries with weak healthcare systems please note this is beyond all our capacities.”

请大家采取极端防疫。从儿童到老人。这个病毒已经不仅仅只是印度。我们的政府和系统失败了。没人能想到是这样。对于所有医疗薄弱发展中国家，现在情况已经超出我们的能力。

Let’s work towards trying to stop the spread even if it means an ironclad lockdown or else the only thing we will have left is a body count statistic that would make the Spanish flu look like a non event.”

让我们一起停止传播，这意味着严格封锁，或者增加的就是尸体的数量，西班牙流感在新冠面前就是个弟弟。

希望莫迪和印度政府做个人，接受国际社会帮助，病毒变异可不在乎你大选，也不挑种姓。